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CIE 9708 · International economics

Exchange rates: separate the price effect from the quantity response

A depreciation does not automatically improve the current account. Explain who faces higher or lower prices, then use elasticities, capacity and time to evaluate the eventual outcome.

CIE 9708AS6 min lesson

The lesson

Explain the mechanism, then qualify the outcome. Use this page as a fast, high-quality revision pass—not a wall of notes to memorise.

01

Appreciation and depreciation

An exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another.

  • A depreciation makes exports cheaper to foreign buyers and imports more expensive in domestic currency.
  • An appreciation makes imports cheaper but can reduce export price competitiveness.
  • The effect on trade values depends on demand elasticities and firms’ ability to increase supply.
02

The time path matters

Quantity responses can take time because of contracts, habits and limited production capacity.

  • After depreciation, the import bill may initially rise before quantities adjust: the J-curve effect.
  • More expensive imported fuel, food and inputs can create cost-push inflation.
  • Evaluate the exchange-rate regime, confidence, foreign debt and whether export demand is sufficiently elastic.

Worked exam thinking

Worked example: depreciation and the current account

Prompt: Why might a depreciation initially worsen a country’s trade balance?

High-quality reasoning: Import prices rise immediately in domestic currency while existing contracts and inelastic demand keep quantities similar. If export and import volumes later respond enough, the balance may improve after the initial deterioration.

How to turn knowledge into marks

Use this answer route

For a focused explanation or short evaluation question on this topic:

  1. 1Define the core idea precisely.
  2. 2Explain the chain of cause and effect.
  3. 3Apply it to the context in the question.
  4. 4Evaluate a limitation, trade-off or condition.

Quick questions

Check your understanding

What is a depreciation?

A fall in the value of a currency against other currencies.

Does depreciation always improve exports?

It improves price competitiveness, but export demand, capacity, foreign-currency pricing and time lags determine the final effect.

What is the J-curve?

The possible pattern in which the trade or current-account balance first worsens after a depreciation and improves later as quantities adjust.