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Development

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Cambridge IGCSE Geography 0460 · Paper 2 Human Geography Syllabus: 2027, 2028 and 2029 Official syllabus points: 8.1.1 to 8.3.4

Topic 8 is one of the five human topics examined on Paper 2. Paper 2 lasts 1 hour 45 minutes, is worth 75 marks and contains two sections. Section A is one compulsory structured question worth 25 marks. Section B offers three structured questions of 25 marks each and you answer two of them. Every topic from 6 to 10 can appear.

This topic carries more statistics than any other. That is an advantage, because the examiner cannot easily invent a mark scheme point you have not met, and a disadvantage, because a candidate who writes "LICs are poor and HICs are rich" for seven marks will score at the bottom of Level 1. The mark schemes on this topic reward two things above all: a correct mechanism, meaning the chain of reasoning from cause to effect, and place specific detail, meaning real country names with real figures and real dates. Levelled questions in this board are routinely capped with the instruction "Max 5 if no named or inappropriate example", so a correct but placeless answer loses two marks by rule before the examiner has judged the geography at all.


1. The terminology Cambridge uses, and why it changed

Read this section before anything else, because it is the single most likely place to lose easy marks in 2027.

The 2027 syllabus states its own preferred terminology in the Paper 2 introduction:

One form of terminology used to refer to countries at different levels of development is low-income countries (LICs), middle-income countries (MICs) and high-income countries (HICs). We will use these categories to give context to examples in question papers.

So the question papers you sit will say LIC, MIC and HIC. Older textbooks, and every past paper mark scheme published before 2027, use LEDC (less economically developed country), MEDC (more economically developed country) and NIC (newly industrialised country). Those older terms are not wrong geography, but they are not the wording of the current papers, and a resource that mixes both will confuse you under exam pressure.

What to do in the exam. Use LIC, MIC and HIC. If a question or a figure gives you a different label, use the label the question gives you. Never invent a category that Cambridge does not use, such as "third world" or "underdeveloped".

The syllabus also attaches an important caution to its own categories:

At Cambridge we recognise that categorising countries is not always meaningful, and a country can sometimes fall into different categories depending on the types of measures being considered.

That sentence is a free evaluation point and it is worth learning as a sentence. A country can be classed as a middle-income country on an income measure and rank far lower on a composite socio-economic index, or the reverse. Whenever a question asks you to evaluate the usefulness of a grouping or an indicator, the fact that the classification depends on the measure chosen is a valid and creditable point.


2. What development means

Development is the use of resources and technology to raise the standard of living and quality of life of a population.

Two ideas sit inside that definition and the syllabus separates them at point 8.1.3.

A country can move on one and not the other, and the whole of section 4 below rests on that fact.

Exam trap: development is not the same as growth. Economic growth means output rising. Development means the benefits of that output reaching people. An oil economy whose output doubles while its infant mortality rate does not fall has grown without developing, and Cambridge examiners like that distinction.


3. Social and economic indicators of development (8.1.1)

Syllabus point 8.1.1 names nine indicators as examples. Because they are named, the examiner may ask you to define any one of them, to read one from a table or a map, or to explain why it shows the level of development of a country. Learn all nine as definitions.

IndicatorDefinition to reproduceWhat a high value tells you
Gross national product (GNP)The total value of all goods and services produced by a country's citizens and companies in a year, wherever in the world they are produced. Usually quoted per capita, meaning per person.High income, so an HIC
Gross domestic product (GDP)The total value of all goods and services produced inside a country's borders in a year, whoever owns the firm.High income
Gross national income (GNI)The total income received by a country's residents in a year, from production at home and from earnings and investment income abroad. This is the measure the World Bank uses to classify countries.High income
Literacy rateThe percentage of people, usually aged 15 and over, who can read and write a short simple statement about their everyday life.Good education provision
Life expectancyThe average number of years a person born in a given year can expect to live if death rates stay the same.Good health care, diet and water
Human Development Index (HDI)A composite index combining life expectancy, education and income into a single figure between 0 and 1.Broad development, social and economic
Infant mortality rateThe number of deaths of children under one year of age per 1,000 live births per year.A low value means good development
Calorie intakeThe average number of kilocalories consumed per person per day.Adequate food supply, though a very high value signals a different problem
Doctors per personThe number of qualified doctors available per unit of population, often written the other way round as people per doctor.Good health provision

GNP, GDP and GNI, and why the difference matters

These three are constantly confused, and the mark schemes accept them almost interchangeably, but the definitions are separable and a definition question wants the right one.

  1. a transnational corporation builds a factory in an MIC
  2. the output raises that country's GDP
  3. the profits are sent back to the parent company's home country
  4. the MIC's GNI rises by much less than its GDP.

That single chain explains why a country hosting a great deal of foreign owned industry can look richer on GDP than its people actually are. It is also the reason the World Bank classifies countries on GNI rather than GDP.

Exam trap: always say per capita or per person if that is what the figure is. Total GNP is meaningless as a development indicator, because a large poor country can have a larger total GNP than a small rich one. A 2021 mark scheme credits exactly this point: HDI "is not affected by population size unlike total GNP".

The Human Development Index in detail

The HDI is the composite index the examiner asks about most often. It combines three dimensions:

  1. A long and healthy life, measured by life expectancy at birth.
  2. Knowledge, measured by expected years of schooling for a child entering school and mean years of schooling for adults.
  3. A decent standard of living, measured by GNI per capita, adjusted for what money actually buys in that country.

The three are combined into a single value on a scale from 0 to 1, where 1 is the theoretical maximum. In the data for 2022, published by the United Nations Development Programme, Switzerland stood at the top with an HDI of about 0.967 and Somalia at the bottom with about 0.380, against a world average of about 0.739.

Learn the three dimensions, not the arithmetic. No 0460 question asks you to calculate an HDI. Several ask you to state which indicators it uses, and one 2020 paper set that as a tick box question for three marks.

A warning about older mark schemes. Past paper mark schemes on this topic do not agree with each other about the income component of the HDI. A 2020 mark scheme correctly lists "Gross National Income (GNI) per person, life expectancy, number of years of schooling". A 2021 mark scheme lists "GNP (per capita), allow GNI/GDP". The index has used GNI per capita since 2010. Write GNI, and you are safe against both.


4. Using indicators to compare countries, and evaluating their usefulness (8.1.2)

This is the point that produces the hardest questions on the topic, because it asks you to be sceptical about the very numbers you have just learned.

4.1 Why single indicators are used

A single indicator is easy to collect, easy to publish, easy to compare and easy to plot. Most of the data questions on this paper give you two indicators and a scatter graph and ask you to describe the relationship.

The relationships you are expected to know:

PairRelationshipMechanism
GNI per capita and infant mortalityNegative, also called inverseHigher income buys health care, clean water and food
HDI and life expectancyPositiveLife expectancy is a component of HDI, and the same causes drive both
HDI and access to clean waterPositiveGovernment revenue funds piped supply and sanitation
GNI per capita and energy use per personPositiveIndustry, transport and household appliances all consume energy
Literacy rate and GNI per capitaPositiveEducation raises productivity, and higher income funds schools
  1. higher national income
  2. government has more tax revenue
  3. more spending on clinics, vaccination, piped water and sanitation
  4. fewer babies die of preventable infection
  5. infant mortality rate falls.

How to answer a "describe the relationship" question. Mark schemes on this board award, in this order: the direction of the relationship, a statement of the exception or anomaly, and statistics from two contrasting points to support it. A 2020 mark scheme is explicit that statistics need "two sets", one country at each end, and that the units must be quoted. A 2022 mark scheme awards a mark for saying the relationship "is not perfect" and then naming the anomalous point.

4.2 Why single indicators are unreliable

Learn these six limitations. Every "evaluate the usefulness of indicators" question is answered from this list.

  1. An average hides distribution. GNI per capita is a mean. If a small elite holds most of the income, the average tells you nothing about the typical person. A country can have a respectable GNI per capita and widespread poverty at the same time.
  2. An average hides regional variation inside a country. India's national figures conceal the gap between states. At the 2011 Census, Kerala recorded a literacy rate of 94.0% while Bihar recorded 61.8%. A 2021 Cambridge paper set exactly this question using a map of HDI by Nigerian state.
  3. Money is not welfare. A high income earned in a polluted, unsafe or unequal society does not deliver a good life. The mark schemes state it plainly: "a high income does not always mean a high quality of life".
  4. Currency comparison is unstable. Incomes converted at market exchange rates are not directly comparable, because the same amount of money buys different quantities in different countries, and because exchange rates and inflation both move. This is why HDI's 0 to 1 scale is praised in the mark schemes for enabling comparison.
  5. Data quality varies. Poorer countries have weaker statistical services. Subsistence farming, informal work and unregistered births are undercounted, so the recorded figures may understate both output and population.
  6. One indicator measures one thing. Calorie intake tells you about food quantity and nothing about diet quality. Doctors per person tells you the number of doctors and nothing about whether they are in the rural areas where they are needed.

4.3 Why a composite index is better, and where it still fails

A 2021 mark scheme lists the advantages of HDI over GNP almost exactly as follows, and these are the marks:

But HDI is still an average, so it still hides inequality inside a country, and it still leaves out things people value: political freedom, safety, gender equality, environmental quality and access to housing. Naming one omission is a reliable evaluation mark.

4.4 The anomaly argument, which is the top of the ladder

The strongest evaluation move is to name a country where the income measure and the social measure disagree, because that proves the point rather than asserting it.

  1. oil revenue flows to a small elite and to foreign shareholders
  2. little is spent on clinics and schools
  3. income per person rises but life expectancy and schooling do not
  4. GNI per capita overstates the level of development.

5. Factors affecting quality of life and standard of living (8.1.3)

This point is new for the 2027 syllabus as a separate, examinable heading. It was implied by the older syllabus but never listed, so there is little direct past paper evidence for it.

Standard of living refers to the material goods and services a person can obtain: income, food, housing, possessions, energy supply. It can largely be measured in money.

Quality of life is broader. It refers to a person's overall wellbeing, including the material things but also health, safety, education, environment, freedom and social relationships. It cannot be reduced to a single number.

A worked distinction: a person whose income doubles has a higher standard of living. If that income came from working eighteen hour days in a polluted city away from their family, their quality of life may not have improved at all.

Factors affecting both

FactorHow it works
Income and employmentRegular, formal, well paid work buys food, housing and services and allows saving
HousingPermanent materials, legal tenure, space per person, and connection to services
Access to clean water and sanitationDetermines exposure to cholera, typhoid and dysentery, so it drives infant mortality
Health careDistance to a clinic, number of doctors, availability of vaccination and medicines, and whether care is affordable
EducationYears of schooling, literacy, and whether girls attend as long as boys
Food supplyCalorie intake and dietary variety, so nutrition rather than bulk
Environmental qualityAir and water pollution, noise, green space, exposure to natural hazards
Safety and securityCrime, conflict, and the rule of law
Services and infrastructureElectricity, transport, communications, waste collection

Cambridge has examined quality of life through squatter settlements repeatedly. A 2021 Paper 4 mark scheme scores it entirely through building material, water source, electricity source and legal tenure, and a 2024 Paper 2 question asked candidates to compare the quality of life in two squatter settlements from photographs. If you get a photograph, read those four things off it.

  1. a household gains legal tenure of its plot
  2. it is safe from eviction
  3. it is willing to invest in a permanent brick house and a water connection
  4. health improves and the property becomes an asset
  5. quality of life rises without any rise in wage income.

6. Reasons for differences in levels of development and the development gap (8.2.1)

The development gap is the difference in wealth and wellbeing between the richest and the poorest countries, and between the richest and poorest people within a country.

The syllabus requires social, economic and environmental factors, so structure your answer under those three headings. The 2021 mark scheme for "explain why there are inequalities in wealth between countries" awards five marks from a list that maps onto them almost exactly.

6.1 Environmental and physical factors

6.2 Economic factors

  1. low incomes
  2. little saving
  3. little money available for investment in schools, machinery or roads
  4. productivity stays low
  5. output stays low
  6. incomes stay low.

6.3 Social and political factors

6.4 Inequality within a country

The syllabus wording covers gaps within as well as between countries, and Cambridge has examined inequality inside urban areas at seven marks. Reasons include:


7. The current global pattern of LICs, MICs and HICs (8.2.2)

This point is new for 2027 in this wording. The older syllabus asked for inequalities between and within countries but did not require the income group classification or its global pattern.

7.1 How the classification is made

The World Bank sorts every economy into four income groups using GNI per capita, calculated by the Atlas method, and revises the thresholds each year. For the classification published in July 2024, using 2023 data, the bands were:

GroupGNI per capita, US dollars
Low income (LIC)1,145 or less
Lower middle income1,146 to 4,515
Upper middle income4,516 to 14,005
High income (HIC)above 14,005

The two middle bands together are the middle-income countries (MICs). Quote the year with the thresholds, because they move every July.

7.2 The pattern to describe

If you are given a world map of income groups, describe it the way the mark schemes reward: by continent and region, then by latitude or hemisphere, then with an exception.

A 2021 mark scheme for a map of HDI in Africa awards marks for exactly this kind of statement: "lowest are mostly landlocked but highest are mainly coastal", "highest are at higher latitudes", "highest are in north or south but lowest are in between".

Exam technique: a description question wants the pattern, not the reasons. If the question says "describe the distribution", do not explain it. If it says "suggest reasons for the distribution", use section 6.

7.3 The pattern is not static

The gap has not stayed still. China's economy moved from low income to upper middle income within a generation, and the World Bank estimates that around 800 million people there were lifted out of extreme poverty after reforms began in 1978. Several Asian economies followed the same path through manufacturing for export. Most sub-Saharan African LICs did not. Saying that "the development gap is widening" without qualification is therefore risky; the gap between HICs and the fastest growing MICs has narrowed, while the gap between HICs and the poorest LICs has not.


8. Sustainable development (8.3.1)

Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.

That is the definition from the Brundtland Commission report Our Common Future, published in 1987, and it is the definition to reproduce. A two mark question splits it exactly where the sentence splits, and the mark scheme confirms it:

The same mark scheme accepts an alternative pairing worth learning as a backup: achieving economic development and maintaining or improving quality of life, while not damaging the environment.

The three pillars

Sustainable development is usually drawn as three overlapping strands, and the syllabus uses the same three words at 8.3.2:

A strategy that fails any one of the three is not sustainable. That test is the fastest way to structure an evaluation.

Context: the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, seventeen goals adopted in 2015 with a target date of 2030, are the framework most governments now use. Goal 1 is no poverty, Goal 4 is quality education, Goal 6 is clean water and sanitation, and Goal 13 is climate action.


9. Strategies and techniques used to try to achieve sustainable development (8.3.2)

The syllabus distinguishes the two words, and the distinction is stated on page 19 of the syllabus: strategies include action plans and agreements, while techniques cover the methods used. So a strategy is the plan, and a technique is the thing you actually do.

9.1 Economic

9.2 Social

9.3 Environmental


10. Reducing uneven development: trade, aid and debt relief (8.3.3)

Syllabus point 8.3.3 requires an evaluation of the strategies and techniques used to try to reduce uneven development, and names trade, international aid and debt relief as its examples.

This is the most important section of the topic and the least evidenced by past papers, because the previous syllabus did not require it. Treat the evaluation framework below as the thing to learn, since it is what an evaluation question will need whatever the specific scheme.

10.1 Trade

How it is meant to work. Selling goods abroad earns foreign currency, creates jobs, generates tax revenue and, unlike aid, does not have to be repeated by a donor.

Techniques used:

Evaluation.

  1. world price of the single export crop falls
  2. export earnings fall
  3. government revenue falls
  4. spending on health and education is cut
  5. development slows in a year the country did nothing wrong.

10.2 International aid

Aid is the transfer of money, goods, services or expertise from one country or organisation to another, on terms more generous than commercial ones.

TypeMeaning
BilateralGovernment to government, from one donor country to one recipient
MultilateralChannelled through an international body such as the World Bank or a United Nations agency
Short term or emergencyFood, shelter, medicine and rescue after a disaster
Long term or developmentSchools, clinics, water supply, roads, training
TiedConditional on the recipient spending it with firms from the donor country
Voluntary or NGORaised by charities from the public, usually small scale and community based
Top downLarge projects planned nationally, such as a dam
Bottom upSmall projects planned with the community, such as a village well

The United Nations target for official development assistance is 0.7% of a donor's gross national income, agreed in 1970. Total official development assistance from the main donor governments was around US$223 billion in 2023, and only a handful of countries met the 0.7% target that year.

Evaluation.

  1. emergency food aid continues for years after the drought ends
  2. local grain prices are pushed down
  3. local farmers cannot sell their harvest at a profit
  4. they stop planting
  5. the region becomes more dependent on the next shipment.

10.3 Debt relief

Many of the poorest countries entered the 1990s spending more on servicing external debt than on health and education combined. The Heavily Indebted Poor Countries initiative, launched by the IMF and World Bank in 1996 and extended in 1999, cancelled debt for countries that met conditions on economic management and on directing the savings into poverty reduction. Around 37 countries have completed the process, with debt relief committed on the order of US$100 billion.

Evaluation.

10.4 The evaluation framework to use on any scheme

Whatever the scheme, an evaluation answer is built from the same five tests, and using them explicitly is what lifts an answer into Level 3:

  1. Who benefits? The whole population, or one region, one class, one gender?
  2. How long does it last? Does it end when the funding ends?
  3. Who maintains it? Local people with local materials, or imported engineers and spare parts?
  4. What does it cost, and who pays? Is it affordable to repeat at national scale?
  5. What is the environmental effect? Does it degrade the resource it depends on?

11. Detailed specific example: Bangladesh, a lower middle income country (8.3.4)

Syllabus point 8.3.4 requires one detailed specific example of a named country classified as an MIC or LIC, covering two things:

This is the question where "Max 5 if no named or inappropriate example" bites. Learn one country properly. Bangladesh works well because it has both halves: clear physical and historical reasons for its position, and an unusually well documented set of strategies.

Cambridge recommends that detailed specific examples come from CE 2000 to the present day.

11.1 Where Bangladesh stands

Bangladesh is a lower middle income country in South Asia, reclassified from low income by the World Bank in 2015. It has a population of around 170 million on a land area smaller than England and Wales combined, making it one of the most densely populated large countries in the world. In the 2022 data its HDI was about 0.670 and life expectancy about 74 years, up from roughly the high forties at independence in 1971. It is scheduled to graduate from the United Nations list of Least Developed Countries in November 2026.

11.2 Reasons for its current level of development

Physical and environmental

Historical and economic

Social and political

11.3 Strategies and techniques used to raise development

Economic: manufacturing for export

The ready made garment industry is the central strategy. It grew from almost nothing in 1980 to roughly US$47 billion of exports in the 2022 to 2023 financial year, which is around four fifths of the country's total export earnings, and it employs about four million people, the large majority of them women.

  1. low wage costs and duty free access to HIC markets attract garment orders
  2. factories open around Dhaka and Chattogram
  3. millions of women earn a cash wage for the first time
  4. household incomes rise and women gain financial independence
  5. demand for local services grows through the multiplier effect.

Evaluation: it transformed the economy and the position of women, but wages are low, and the collapse of the Rana Plaza factory building in 2013, which killed more than 1,100 workers, exposed the safety cost. The industry also leaves the country dependent on a single sector and on the buying decisions of foreign retailers, which is the classic narrow export base problem in a new form.

Economic: microfinance

Grameen Bank, founded in 1983, lends small sums without collateral, overwhelmingly to women, in groups whose members support each other's repayment. Loans buy a sewing machine, a mobile phone, a cow or seed and fertiliser.

Evaluation: repayment rates are high and the money reaches people no commercial bank would serve, which is a genuinely bottom up approach. But loan sizes are small, interest is not free, and microfinance builds a household enterprise rather than the factories and infrastructure a country needs at scale.

Social: education, especially of girls

A national stipend programme for girls in secondary school, running since the mid 1990s, paid families to keep daughters in education. Bangladesh reached gender parity in primary and secondary enrolment, which is unusual at its income level.

  1. girls stay in school longer
  2. they marry later and have fewer children
  3. the birth rate falls
  4. each child receives a larger share of household income and better nutrition
  5. infant mortality falls and the next generation is healthier and better educated.

Social: health and NGO delivery

BRAC, founded in Bangladesh in 1972 and now among the largest non governmental organisations in the world, delivers primary health care, non formal primary schools, sanitation and microfinance through community health workers rather than through hospitals. Oral rehydration therapy, promoted door to door, cut deaths from diarrhoeal disease in children dramatically. National immunisation coverage rose from very low levels to over 90%.

Evaluation: this is bottom up, low cost, uses appropriate technology and is maintained by local people, which is why it endured. Its limitation is that it substitutes for state provision rather than building it.

Environmental: renewable energy and disaster preparation

Overall judgement: Bangladesh raised life expectancy, literacy and income faster than most countries at its starting point, mainly through one manufacturing sector, sustained investment in the education and health of women, and adaptation to a hazardous physical environment. The remaining weaknesses are the narrowness of that export base, low wages, and a physical geography that climate change and sea level rise will make harder, not easier.


12. What the mark schemes actually reward

Reading real 0460 mark schemes on this topic gives four rules that the syllabus alone does not tell you.

1. "5 at 1 mark or development" is the standard 5 mark instruction. You can score five separate valid points, or fewer points each carried further. Both routes reach five. The safer route is four points with two of them developed.

2. Development means the second clause. One 2021 mark scheme adds the note: "All 'as' statements can only be credited as development." In other words, "primary employment falls" is the point; "as machinery replaces farm labour" is the development. Write both halves of every sentence.

3. Levelled 7 mark questions need a named example for the top level. The Level 3 descriptor asks for "comprehensive and accurate statements ... including reference to one or more examples", and 161 mark schemes in the 0460 bank carry an explicit cap of "Max 5 if no named or inappropriate example". Two marks, gone, before the geography is judged.

4. Statistics questions specify how many and what kind. A "use statistics" instruction on a relationship question expects data from two contrasting points, with the units included. A "do not use statistics" instruction means comparative words only, and quoting numbers there earns nothing.

5. Instructions inside the question are marked. One 2020 question offered four development plans and said choose Plan 2, 3 or 4. The mark scheme states that choosing Plan 1 scores zero for the whole answer, and that discussing why the other plans were rejected is not relevant. Read the constraint.


13. Common exam mistakes


14. Quick revision


What the syllabus asks for on this topicSyllabus map

Syllabus map

Syllabus pointRequired knowledgeWhere it is covered
8.1.1Social and economic indicators of development. For example, gross national product (GNP), gross domestic product (GDP), gross national income (GNI), literacy rate, life expectancy, Human Development Index (HDI), infant mortality rate, calorie intake, doctors per personSection 3
8.1.2The use of indicators of development to compare countries at different levels of development and an evaluation of their usefulnessSection 4
8.1.3Factors affecting quality of life and standard of livingSection 5
8.2.1Reasons for differences in levels of development and the development gap, to include social, economic, and environmental factorsSection 6
8.2.2The current global pattern of low-income countries (LICs), middle-income countries (MICs) and high-income countries (HICs)Section 7
8.3.1Definition(s) of sustainable developmentSection 8
8.3.2Social, economic, and environmental strategies and techniques used to try to achieve sustainable developmentSection 9
8.3.3An evaluation of the strategies and techniques used to try to reduce uneven development, for example, trade, international aid, and debt reliefSection 10
8.3.4One detailed specific example of a named country classified as an MIC or LIC, to include the reasons for its current level of development, and the strategies and techniques used to try to raise its level of economic development, quality of life and standard of livingSection 11

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