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Low Unemployment

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Syllabus points

Measuring unemployment

The unemployment rate is the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force:

Unemployment rate = (unemployed ÷ labour force) × 100

The labour force is those working plus those actively seeking work. Two common measures are the claimant count (people claiming unemployment benefits) and a labour-force survey (based on the internationally agreed definition of actively seeking work).

Types of unemployment

TypeCause
Cyclical (demand-deficient)A fall in AD during a recession
StructuralA permanent change in the pattern of demand or technology; skills mismatch
FrictionalPeople between jobs, searching for a better match
SeasonalPredictable changes in demand across the year

Cyclical unemployment is usually the largest and most policy-relevant, addressed by demand-side (fiscal/monetary) policy; structural unemployment requires supply-side measures such as retraining.

Costs of unemployment

Difficulties of measurement

Official figures may understate true joblessness because of discouraged ("hidden unemployed") workers who have stopped searching, and underemployment (part-time workers who want full-time work). They may overstate it if some claimants work in the informal economy. Comparisons across countries are complicated by differing definitions.

Worked example

If 2 million people are unemployed and the labour force is 25 million, the unemployment rate is (2 ÷ 25) × 100 = 8%. A rise in discouraged workers who leave the labour force would *lower* the measured rate even though joblessness has not improved.

Common exam mistakes

Exam technique

Match the policy to the type of unemployment: demand-side for cyclical, supply-side for structural and frictional. Evaluate measurement limitations when using data.

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